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Investment Returns After Inflation

A portfolio can grow in dollars but still lose purchasing power if inflation is high. That’s why it’s useful to look at real return (inflation-adjusted return).

Use the tools:

If your investment earns a nominal return RR and inflation is ii, then the real return is:

Rreal=1+R1+i1R_{real} = \frac{1 + R}{1 + i} - 1

A common approximation (works best for small rates) is:

RrealRiR_{real} \approx R - i

If your investment returns 8% and inflation is 3%:

Rreal=1.081.0314.85%R_{real} = \frac{1.08}{1.03} - 1 \approx 4.85\%

So the purchasing-power growth is closer to ~4.85%, not 8%.

  • Use inflation assumptions (often 2–3% in long-run planning) to stress-test goals.
  • Compare multiple scenarios (e.g., 6% vs 8% returns and 2% vs 4% inflation).